The world leaders are convening in Turkey for the G20 summit. The Paris
tragedy highlighted the pending problems inside the world community. In
this context the world leaders are expected to step up border controls,
aviation security, to curb migrant crisis and to combat ISIS.
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
Sunday, November 8, 2015
Friday, November 6, 2015
Fukushima Daiichi Just Got Uglier
As time passes, a bona fide message emerges from within the Fukushima
Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant disaster scenario, and that message is that
once a nuclear power plant loses it, the unraveling only gets worse and
worse until it’s at its worst, and still, there’s no stopping it.
Similar to opening Pandora’s box, there’s no stopping a ferocious
atom-splitting insanity that knows no end.
Four years of experience with Fukushima provides considerable
evidence that splitting atoms to boil water is outright unmitigated
madness. After all, nuclear power plants are built to boil water; yes,
to boil water; it’s as simple as that, but yet at the same time it’s
also extraordinarily complex. Conversely, solar and wind do not boil
water and are not complex and never deadly (Germany knows).
As it unfolds, the Fukushima story grows more convoluted and way more
chilling. For example, according to The Japan Times, October 30th
Edition: “Extremely high radiation levels and the inability to grasp the
details about melted nuclear fuel make it impossible for the utility to
chart the course of its planned decommissioning of the reactors at the
plant.”
Thereby, the bitter truth behind a major nuclear meltdown shows its
true colors: “Impossible for the utility to chart the course of its
planned decommissioning…” is very definitive, divulging the weak
underbelly of the fission-to-heat process; only one slip-up, and it’s
deadly dangerous and likely out of control!
Not only that, but the entire Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant
complex is subject to recurring mishaps and setbacks, as well as various
technical tribulations, something different going wrong on any given
day. And, it’s always big, never small.
For example, according to The Japan Times, October 30thEdition:
“Deadly 9.4 Sieverts Detected Outside Fukushima Reactor 2 Containment
Vessel; Checks Stop.”
TEPCO also detected deadly radiation levels outside of reactor No. 1.
According to a direct quote from the article: “People exposed to the
maximum radiation dose for some 45 minutes will die.” Death in 45
minutes!
The potency contained within 9.4 Sieverts (Sv) is enormous. One
Sievert, which is a measure of the health effect of radiation on the
human body, is normally considered a massive dose, causing immediate
radiation sickness. But, since levels beyond one Sievert are rarely, if
ever, encountered in the normal course of everyday life, the industry
standard uses millisieverts (mSv = 1/1000th) or microsieverts (uSv = one
millionth of a Sievert) when measuring radiation.
Miserably, eight (8) Sieverts causes severe vomiting, severe
headache, severe fever, incapacitation, and a 100% death rate over a
period of time greater than 10 minutes within 48 hours (Radiation
Survival Guide).
Chernobyl is a prime example of the potency of radiation. Immediately
after the explosion (1986), radiation levels in the control room
reached 300 Sv/hr, resulting in the deaths of the operators of the
plant. Thirty years later, radiation levels in the same control room run
approximately 8-10 mSv/hr.
It’s little wonder TEPCO finds it impossible to plan decommissioning
of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant, which begs the question of
if, and when, decommissioning will be possible. Who knows, if ever?
Furthermore, according to The Japan Times’ article: TEPCO planned to
start checking inside the containment vessel in August by use of a
remote-controlled robot but “high radiation levels have stalled the
examination.”
Unfortunately, not only is radiation sizzling outside of reactor No.
1, but a pipe connection at reactor No. 2 also shows extremely high
radiation levels. Reactor No. 2 is where the hot melted radioactive core
(corium) still has not been located. But, then again, with so much hot
stuff sizzling throughout the entire Fukushima complex, how are workers
expected to locate a melted nuclear core that may have already
penetrated the steel-reinforced concrete containment vessel, entering
the earth?
If total meltdown occurred/occurs, nobody has any idea of what to do
next. There is no playbook. It’s likely impossible to do anything
remedial once a melted nuclear core has burrowed into the ground because
deadly isotopes uncontrollably spread erratically, ubiquitously into
the surrounding underground soil and water. Then what?
In the final analysis, there is a distinct probability that Fukushima
has no final analysis. Reports issued by the Japanese government even indicate that Fukushima
Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant cleanup and decommissioning is severely
restricted by extremely high radiation levels and the inability to grasp
the details about melted nuclear fuel. What could be worse?
Counterpunch and Kyodo
Thursday, November 5, 2015
The Last Fukushima Exclusion Zone Farmer
Two years since the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant went into full
meltdown, and the resulting 20km evacuation zone was enforced, one
farmer still remains behind braving high levels of radiation and
loneliness to tend to abandoned animals.
His name is Naoto Matsumura, and he is the last man standing in the ghost town of Tomioka. Another farmer, Kenji Hasegawa's town of Iidate was also evacuated due to high levels of radiation, he sought refuge in temporary housing. Faced with a postnuclear world both these men share brutally honest views on the state of their lives, TEPCO, government inaction and some of the hardest situations they have had to face in the midst of overwhelming radioactivity.
His name is Naoto Matsumura, and he is the last man standing in the ghost town of Tomioka. Another farmer, Kenji Hasegawa's town of Iidate was also evacuated due to high levels of radiation, he sought refuge in temporary housing. Faced with a postnuclear world both these men share brutally honest views on the state of their lives, TEPCO, government inaction and some of the hardest situations they have had to face in the midst of overwhelming radioactivity.
Saturday, October 24, 2015
Japanese Government Admits Fukushima Worker Has Cancer
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Health Minister Yasuhisa Shiozaki at news conference |
Yesterday, the Japanese Health Ministry made its first admission that a worker
at the Fukushima nuclear plant developed cancer as a decontamination worker after the 2011 disaster.
The man, unnamed by the ministry, worked at the damaged plant for over a year, during which time he
was exposed to 19.8 millisieverts of radiation, four times the exposure limit the Japanese government sets as safe. The worker has contracted from leukemia.
A Fukushima Daiichi engineer, Masao Yoshida, also contracted esophageal cancer after the disaster and died in 2013 – but TEPCO refused to accept responsibility,
insisting that the cancer developed too quickly.
Three other Fukushima workers have also contracted cancer but have yet to have their cases assessed.
The Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster followed the earthquake and tsunami of March 2011.
Three of the reactors on the site melted down sending clouds of deadly
radiation into the atmosphere following a hydrogen explosion. Inspections have found nuclear
fuel melted through the steel reactor vessels and sunk
into the concrete foundations.
Charles Gannon and Dallas Brincrest
Charles Gannon and Dallas Brincrest
Thursday, October 22, 2015
US Still Arming ISIS
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An Iraqi official shows US weapons taken from ISIS |
Documents from the US Defense Department leaked through Anonymous via Julian Assange yesterday, show U.S. military aircraft have once again dropped weapons in areas held by the Islamic State.
Iraqi volunteers fighting against IS in the Yathrib and Balad districts in Iraq’s Salahuddin Province reported the air drops as well. Iraq's parliament is voting later today whether Iraq will ask the Russian military to take over US military duties and ask the US to leave.
Iraq claims it is losing the upper hand in the battle to regain territory from the terrorist group due to "Continual US help of the very group we are fighting."
In September an airdrop of weapons were sent Islamic State fighters outside Kobani in Syria.
Also last month, Iraqi intelligence sources said the U.S. is actively supplying ISIS with weapons. “The Iraqi intelligence sources reiterated that the US military
planes have airdropped several aid cargoes for ISIL terrorists to help
them resist the siege laid by the Iraqi army, security and popular
forces,” a report stated.
“What is important is that the US sends these weapons to only those
that cooperate with the Pentagon and this indicates that the US plays a
role in arming the ISIS.”
The UK's MI6 previously
reported in July that ISIS fighters are using “significant quantities” of arms
including M16 assault rifles marked “property of the US government.”
In August, Aaron Klein,
writing for WorldNetDaily, reported that members of ISIS were trained
in 2012 by U.S. instructors working at a secret base in Jordan,
according to informed Jordanian officials.
While the Obama administration does not admit arming and training ISIS terrorists, General Martin E. Dempsey, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
admitted in testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee in July that
United States’ Arab "allies" in the Middle East fund ISIS.
General Thomas McInerney told
Fox News in September that the U.S. “helped build ISIS” as a result of
the group obtaining weapons from the Benghazi consulate in Libya which
was attacked by jihadists in September 2012. “We backed I believe in some cases, some of the wrong people and not
in the right part of the Free Syrian Army and that’s a little confusing
to people, so I’ve always maintained… that we were backing the wrong
types,” McInerney said.
The U.S. claims it is arming “moderate” mercenaries in Syria to fight
against ISIS and the al-Assad government in Damascus despite the fact
there are no longer any moderate forces active.
The CIA has shipped weapons to al-Qaeda affiliated groups in Syria since at least 2012 and continues to do so today, a fact revealed by The New York Times.
The shipments included more than 160 military cargo flights by
Jordanian, Saudi and Qatari military cargo planes landing at Esenboga
Airport near Ankara and other Turkish and Jordanian airports. An effort
to arm al-Nusra – now fully merged with ISIS – and other jihadist groups
has been coordinated by American intelligence.
Dallas Brincrest
Wednesday, October 14, 2015
Defense Department Provided ISIS With Toyotas
Recently officials in Washington DC have asked where ISIS got their Toyotas. This is odd because it has been known for over a year that the US State and Defense Departments provided ISIS the vehicles through a known ISIS front group the Free Syrian Army. Both President Obama and Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter approved the plan in May 2014 with consultation of State Department Secretary John Kerry.
In June 2014 the US State Department resumed sending non-lethal aid
to Syrian rebels, the delivery list included 43 Toyota trucks.
Hiluxes were on the Free Syrian Army's (an ISIS affiliated group) wish list. Oubai Shahbander, a
Washington-based security advisor, provided CNN, PRI, and Reuters the evidence in a September 2014 interview.
"Specific equipment like the Toyota Hiluxes are what we refer to as
force enablers for the moderate opposition forces on the ground," he
adds. Shahbander says the US-supplied pickups delivered troops
and supplies into battle. Some of the fleet became battlefield
weapons.
Defense Department documents have shown the US Air Force made six weapons drops into Syria between June 10 and July 9, 2014. Two drops show 20 and 23 Toyota Hiluxes were included respectively. The other four drops were simply listed as "Needed tactical and conventional weapons."
"You can absolutely expect many of those trucks were mounted
with crew-served machine guns or other type of equipment, military
equipment, that the opposition forces have access to. I mean, that's one
of the reasons why the Toyota Hilux is such an important force
multiplier, because it could be used both for humanitarian purposes and
for operational purposes as well."
Syria is only the latest war zone where the Hilux has been a vehicle
of choice. The BBC's Kabul correspondent, David Loyn, saw the Hilux put
through its paces by the Taliban in the 1990s, and credits the truck
with having given Taliban forces a battlefield edge.
"They perfected very fast-moving maneuver warfare, and they did it
with Hilux trucks," he says. "The Jane's Defense Weekly analysis of the
seizure of Kabul in 1996 was that it was a textbook operation, from
three sides, a coordinated piece of warfare using these Hilux trucks as
very fast-moving troop-moving vehicles."
Loyn ranks the Hilux among the great game-changers of modern warfare.
"You have seen in many wars in the past, a sort of symbolic weapon: the
longbow at Agincourt, the Huey helicopter in Vietnam and, I think, the
Hilux truck in Afghanistan in the hands of the Taliban was [as]
significant and iconic a weapon as those."
PRI
Monday, October 12, 2015
Japan To Be Downgraded
When markets open in Tokyo tomorrow, Standard & Poor will downgrade its rating of Japanese government debt,
citing weak growth. “Despite showing initial promise,” Mr. Abe’s
strategy “will not be able to reverse this deterioration in the next two
to three years,” the ratings agency said. It was the third of the three
major ratings firms to do so.
On Friday, the Bank of Japan had downgraded
its forecast for industrial output in the current quarter to “largely
flat” as a result of growth slowdowns in China and emerging economies
that are weighing on Japan’s exports.
The latest signs came as
doubts over Abenomics, as the Japanese leader’s three-pronged growth
strategy is called, are increasingly emerging among economists nearly
three years after he took power.
“The time is not yet ripe for us to declare Abenomics a failure, but we must say we are getting there,” said economist Takuji Okubo of Japan Macro Advisors, a Tokyo economic-analysis firm, who has been supportive of Mr. Abe.
Two figures underscore the urgency. Economists believe Japan will
struggle to grow in the current quarter after shrinking 1.3% the
previous quarter. And despite unprecedented easing by the Bank of Japan,
the leading measure of inflation shows prices are flat, a setback for
Mr. Abe’s efforts to eradicate deflation. Low energy prices, while
generally good for a big energy importer like Japan, have disrupted the
push to generate inflation, Bank of Japan officials say.
Some
benchmarks are much improved over three years. The Nikkei stock average
is 80% above where it stood when Mr. Abe took office, even after the
recent global stock-market shudder, backed by a sharp rise in corporate
profits. Demand for workers is stronger than it has been since the early
1990s, when Japan was entering the long period of stagnation. And the
headline figure on prices probably underestimates Mr. Abe’s
deflation-fighting efforts because it has been pushed down by a one-time
fall in oil prices.
“Abenomics is still halfway along the road,”
Mr. Abe said on Sept. 8 when he was re-elected as ruling-party leader.
He said he would work to “deliver a virtuous cycle of a recovering
economy to every corner of the country.”
Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda
said Friday that while China’s slowdown would affect Japan somewhat,
he believed China’s leaders would soon take steps to boost the economy
and restore stable growth.
Yet, none of what Mr. Abe calls the “three arrows” of Abenomics seems
equipped to pierce through the barriers keeping consumers from spending
and companies from investing more.
The first arrow, monetary
stimulus, hasn’t been fired since Oct. 31, 2014, when the Bank of Japan
jolted markets by pumping hundreds of billions of dollars in additional
money into the financial system and expanding purchases of stocks and
real-estate funds.
The second arrow, fiscal stimulus, has ceased
to be a force for growth. After a sharp increase in government spending
to stimulate the economy in Mr. Abe’s first year, the budget for the
current fiscal year, which ends in March, will reduce overall government
spending if it isn’t augmented with an extra budget.
The third
arrow, structural change, has included a drive to improve corporate
governance and bring more women into the workforce. While those changes
have won praise from foreign investors, Mr. Abe hasn’t recently proposed
any major additions to the agenda. There are no signs that bigger
changes—such as opening the country more widely to foreign workers—are
in the works.
It is a plight Japan has often faced in the
quarter-century since its on-and-off doldrums began—difficulty in
emerging from a negative cycle of flat or falling prices, pessimism
about a declining population and slow growth.
“It’s hard to
imagine that households would increase spending or companies decide on
more investment when the medium- and longer-term prospects remain dark,”
said Tatsuhiko Yoshizaki, chief economist at trading company Sojitz Corp.
’s research unit.
While some economists say Mr. Abe could
boost confidence by doing more to tackle Japan’s high government debt,
those close to the prime minister say such painful steps should wait
until the economy fully escapes the 15 years of deflation it experienced
before Mr. Abe took over.
Tokyo intends to keep pressuring
companies directly to invest more and give employees bigger raises. In
government-business talks this fall, “I want to give companies a kick in
the back,” said economy minister Akira Amari.
For much of the
summer, Mr. Abe was occupied with getting parliament to approve one of
his cherished ambitions: expanding Japan’s military role overseas and
boosting cooperation with the U.S.
Takashi Nakamichi
Sunday, October 11, 2015
UNESCO Adds Nanjing Massacre Documents
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One of the added documents |
UNESCO on Saturday added Chinese
documents on the "Nanjing Massacre" to the Memory of the World heritage,
drawing an immediate protest from the Japanese government questioning
whether the U.N. body was "neutral and fair" in registering them.
Beijing's dossier on the widespread
killings of Chinese citizens and soldiers following the 1937 capture of
Nanjing by the Japanese military is among dozens of new additions of
documentary heritage, also including two sets of archives from Japan.
The Japanese materials cover the
post-World War II internment and repatriation of Japanese by the Soviet
Union and a Buddhist temple's extensive records of its activities from
the medieval to pre-modern eras in Japan.
China had also nominated "comfort women"
files. But this was not added in the biennial registration by UNESCO
for the documentary version of the World Heritage and Intangible
Cultural Heritage programs, which started in 1997.
The "Documents of the Nanjing Massacre"
consists of court documents from the International Military Tribunal for
the Far East that convicted several Japanese as war criminals and a
Chinese military tribunal, among others. They also include photos of the
killings said to have been taken by the Imperial Japanese Army and film
footage taken by an American missionary.
The Japanese Foreign Ministry said in a
press secretary's statement that "the nomination was made on the basis
of unilateral arguments" and "it is extremely regrettable" that they
were registered.
It "raises a question about the action
of the international organization that ought to be neutral and fair" and
"it is evident that there is a problem about the veracity" of the
archives, it said.
Differences over history have complicated Japan's
relations with China. Japanese officials may be concerned that UNESCO's
registration of the documents could give Beijing ammunition against
Tokyo in promoting its campaign to highlight what it calls "the crimes
of Japanese militarism," including the "Nanjing Massacre", in which it
claims more than 300,000 people were killed.
Japanese historians estimate the death toll at ranging between the tens of thousands to 200,000.
Last year China nominated the "Nanjing Massacre"
files and the "comfort women" documents for UNESCO listing this year on
the 70th anniversary of what Beijing calls its victory in a war of
resistance against Japanese aggression and in the world war against
fascism.
Tokyo argued that China was politicizing UNESCO
and asked Beijing to withdraw the double nominations, which China
refused to do, according to Japanese officials.
Japanese historian Masato Miyachi, a professor
emeritus of the University of Tokyo, said, "By registering Nanjing
Massacre materials as Memory of the World heritage, UNESCO is
recognizing the authenticity of documents and their significance in the
world."
He noted that there are other UNESCO-listed
documents about dark episodes of history such as war and slavery. "If,
however, the veracity of the documents submitted by China is questioned,
that would undermine the credibility of the entire Memory of the World
heritage," he said.
According to Japan's Foreign Ministry, the Memory
of the World screening criteria concerns the necessity of the
preservation and custody of documents and whether they represent
historical truth is not considered.
These and other documents were selected for
registration by UNESCO Director General Irina Bokova following
recommendations by an international advisory panel that met in Abu Dhabi
from Sunday to Tuesday.
One of the two sets of documents listed from
Japan is a collection of some 570 memoirs, drawings and other items
composed by Japanese inmates of Siberian labor camps after World War II,
and lists of those repatriated after the war to Maizuru port in Kyoto
Prefecture.
Roughly 55,000 of the nearly 600,000 Japanese
soldiers detained in labor camps in Siberia and Mongolia after the war
died due to forced labor, the severe living conditions and malnutrition.
Before applying for the registration, the Maizuru
city government investigated other documents with the help of its
sister city Nakhodka, near Vladivostok, in eastern Russia. The Japanese
government and Maizuru city applied to register those documents in March
2014.
The other collection is the archives at Toji
Temple called the "Toji Hyakugo Monjo," or Toji Temple's 100 boxes of
documents, comprised of some 25,000 documents from the years 763 to
1711. The collection -- records of the ancient temple system and social
structures -- was designated a Japanese national treasure in 1997.
In the next registration phase in 2017, Japan
will seek to list the records of diplomat Chiune Sugihara who issued
visas to help some 6,000 Jews flee from Nazi persecution during WWII, as
well as three ancient stone monuments and documents of Korean missions
to Japan in the Edo period.
Kyodo
Meet Katsunobu Kato
The man PM Abe has chosen to lead the LDP's efforts to foster economic and population growth is not a household name. Katsunobu Kato however is known in the nationalist circle of Tokyo.
Kato twice failed to get elected to the Diet in 1998 and 2000 due to his anti-Korean rhetoric. Kato accused South Korea of conspiring with North Korea to abduct Japanese citizens. Kato has denied the use of sex slaves and has often said that reparations to Koreans are "an insult to Japan's dignity as they help perpetuate a lie."
Kato does not stop at his disdain for Koreans and a need to revise history though. Kato also is against Abe plans to expand the role of women in Japan. Just last Monday, Kato noted, "I do not understand how we can grow the population and have women in the work place. Either women care for the home or they should stay single. It seems Abe wants to cater to the liberal I want it both ways crowd."
Kato is also openly affiliated with the Nippon Kaigi. This nationalist and far right wing organization seeks to completely do away with Article 9 of the constitution. Approve history textbooks for schools that portray Japan as fighting WWII to save Asia from European and American imperialism. Revise the use of sex slaves, POW torture, Unit 723, and the invasion and slaughter in Nanjing. PM Abe serves on the executive committee with Kato. All of the Abe cabinet members are chosen from LDP politicians affiliated with this group.
Kato's new appointment as Minister In Charge Of Building A Society Which All Can Participate is seen as a joke among many LDP and opposition party members. They see this as no more than another office created to bounce ideas but find no solutions.
Masato Imai, Secretary General of the second largest opposition
party, Ishin no To (Japan Innovation Party), questioned the necessity of
creating the new post. “I have no idea what kind of roles the minister will play. Abe is
trying to appeal to the public with a catch line of creating a
society where all 100 million citizens can play active roles,” Imai
told reporters.
Kato, a former Finance Ministry official, will also serve as a
minister in charge of female empowerment as well as abduction issues. Ironic considering Kato's stand on these issues.
Saturday, October 10, 2015
Abe - Putin Summit Will Change Little
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Abe and Putin at UN Sept 28 |
Among the various disputes in East Asia that have garnered significant
attention over the past two years, the Russia-Japanese dispute over the Kuril Islands
( or Northern Territories as they are known in Japan) has been treated as
an almost afterthought. While the potential for conflict over this
dispute is minimal, it has served to complicate Russia-Japan relations.
Recent actions by Moscow have angered Tokyo and while both sides wish to
reach a peaceful resolution, Moscow insists that the status of the
islands is not up for debate. With Russian President Putin pursuing a
more active foreign policy and nationalism growing in Japan under Prime
Minister Abe, a resolution to this dispute does not seem likely in the
short term.
Several islands in an island chain north of Hokkaido were developed by Japanese migrants from the 18th
century onward and in 1855, Russian and Japan signed the Treaty of
Shimoda granting Japan the four southernmost islands in the chain. Japan
maintained control of these islands until the end of World War II
when they were occupied by Russia. In 1949, Russia deported all of the
Japanese residents on them to Japan. Japan renounced “all right, title
and claim to the Kuril Islands” in the 1951 San Francisco Peace Treaty
though this was not signed by Russia nor did the Japanese recognize the
southernmost four islands as part of the Kuril chain. Since then the
dispute has remained unresolved and since Japan views Russia as an
occupying force, neither countries have signed a peace treaty to end
their World War II hostilities.
There have been numerous attempts at settling the dispute but they have
always fallen far short of what Tokyo has sought and what Moscow was
willing to concede. By 2013, relations between Japan and Russia were
improving and the possibility of a resolution being realized was
becoming more likely. The 2014 revolution in Ukraine
ended this as Russia-Japan relations suddenly thawed. Since then,
Russia has taken provocative military steps in the region and has
signaled its intent to retain control of the islands.
This summer marked not only the 70th anniversary of the Soviet
Union’s victory against Japan in World War II and the start of its
occupation of the northern territories but also a worsening of the
situation. In response to Abe’s June visit to Kiev, Ukraine, Moscow announced
that the construction of military facilities in the Kurils would speed
up. In August, Russian Prime Minister Medvedev in a widely publicized
event visited the Kuril Islands on Russia’s state Flag Day. Tokyo
immediately lodged a protest against this visit which was one of many
made by senior Russian government officials over the summer.
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Igor Morgulov commented during the
World War II anniversary celebrations that the territorial issues
between Russia and Japan had been solved 70 years ago. Japan immediately
protested these comments with Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida calling
them “unacceptable” and “unproductive and false”. Later in September,
Kishida travelled to Russia on a three-day visit to discuss the disputed
islands. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov though stated that the
only topic to be discussed is that of a peace deal, not the status of
the territories. Lavrov said, “Moving forward on this issue is possible
only after we see clearly Japan’s recognition of historic realities. The
work is difficult and the difference in positions is vast”.
In the past there were indications that Russia might eventually hand over the disputed territories
to Japan. Now that does not seem likely as Russia is unwilling to
portray the issue as one where Japan has a legitimate claim; instead all
Russia wants is to reach a peace deal without a change in territory. As
far as Moscow is concerned, the islands belong to Russia and if a peace
deal is to be reached, Japan must recognize them as part of Russia.
High-level talks will restart October 12 in Moscow for
the first time since last January. It is uncertain though what these
talks will produce given Russia’s new position on the issue.
Furthermore, Russia cannot afford to suddenly backtrack since such a
move would be seen as weakness at a time when Moscow is actively
involved in Ukraine and Syria. Japan though will not back down either as
Tokyo has nothing to lose. For these reasons, this dispute will
continue to live on for years to come.
Stephen Brooker
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